If you remember back to the 2016 presidential election, the overwhelming majority of professional pundits and pollsters were absolutely convinced beyond a shadow of a doubt that Hillary Clinton was going to be our next president and that Trump was going to lose by a landslide.
But not Anthony Salvanto. Salvanto is CBS News’ director of elections and surveys who has the uncanny ability to spot trends a lot of folks can’t pick up on. He predicted that Trump would win and he nailed it.
Well, he’s got some bad news for Democrats who are under the delusion that a “blue wave” is coming during the midterm elections this November.Advertisement - story continues below
For 2018, Salvanto is focusing his energy on CBS’ ongoing tracking poll, instead of popularized random surveys. This allows him to track the sentiment of the same large group of demographically diverse people over a long period of time, which makes spotting trends much easier. And for 2018, the trends are already clear, he told the New York Post.
For 2018, the CBS News Battleground Tracker has gathered a panel of nearly 5,700 registered voters. Almost all of them live in the 50 to 60 districts that might switch from Republican to Democrat, or vice versa, in November — the only races that matter, when it comes to control of Congress.Trending:
Salvanto’s polling currently indicates that few House seats will change hands in November — and that the GOP could very well hold its majority in the House.
“In this era, a district’s voting patterns from the past tend to stay that way,” Salvanto said. “Not as many partisans today are willing to cross party lines.”Advertisement - story continues below
Of the nation’s 435 House districts, fully 85 percent will almost certainly stick with its current party affiliation come November, Salvanto projects.
“Even though Republicans have not fared well in special elections so far this cycle, it does look like they will be turning out for the midterms. So far we do not see a large number of Republicans saying they will flip and vote for a Democrat,” he explained.
If you listen closely, you can hear the cries and screams of liberal snowflakes across the country melting into the floor of their safe spaces while sobs wrack their bodies. Liberals really have a flare for the dramatic, so this isn’t exaggeration at all. There will no doubt be some folks who will react this way. It’s disturbing.
Anyway, the point that liberals need to take away from all of this is that the average American, who is a centrist, is really sick and tired of big government leftism and with the progress being made with Trump’s current agenda, folks are willing to give him another shot to keep things going.
If they really want to change that, they’ll drop the hardcore far left junk and come back to the center.