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New Report Breaks Down the Likelihood the GOP Keeps the House and Senate

Interesting numbers.

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The November midterm elections are finally upon us, with one more day to go. Yes, that’s right folks, just survive the next 48 hours and the bombardment of political ads that are currently assaulting your eyeballs ruthlessly will come to an end.

In the meantime, many folks on the right are wondering what kind of odds the GOP is facing in regards to keeping the House and the Senate. Well, things are a bit of a mixed bag it seems.

Since the Kavanaugh confirmation circus, Republicans’ chances of keeping the Senate have strengthened. For the last few weeks, Real Clear Politics’ average of the key polls has given Republicans 50 “safe” Senate seats and narrow leads in two of the six “tossup” races (last week the GOP had a slight edge in three). According to Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, Republicans now have a 6 in 7 chance (84.8%; up 2.1% since last week) of maintaining control of the Senate, giving the Democrats just a 1 in 7 chance (15.2%) of taking over.

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Silver projects Republicans to end up with 52 seats and Democrats with 48, a net gain of one seat for Republicans and one seat more than is needed for the 51-seat majority. Silver currently gives Republicans an 80% chance of gaining up to four seats or losing up to two, and just a 10% chance that they gain more than four or lose more than two.

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With their Senate hopes slipping away, Democrats are increasingly looking to the House as their best chance at wresting at least one chamber of Congress out of the hands of the GOP. And, unlike with the Senate, the Democrats’ odds of doing so are looking quite good; in fact, they’re nearly mirror-images of the Republicans’ chances of keeping the Senate.

Real Clear Politics’ poll averages currently show Democrats with 203 seats that are “safely” blue, including 14 that are “likely” to go their way and 16 that “lean” Democrat. Republicans currently have 196 “safe” seats (20 likely and 26 leaning). Last week, RCP gave Republicans 199 “safe” seats. If those numbers hold up, that means the Democrats only need 15 of the 36 tossup seats to attain the 218-majority in the House. Republicans, meanwhile, need to win 22. The one thing that could work in Republicans’ favor is that 31 of the 36 tossups are currently held by Republicans.

In numbers that closely resemble those for the Senate, but favoring the other party, FiveThirtyEight sets the odds dramatically in the Democrats’ favor. According to Silver’s analysis, the Democrats have a 6 in 7 chance (84.9%) of winning control of the House, while Republicans have only a 1 in 7 chance (15.1%). That’s about a 10-point improvement for Democrats over early October.

The most likely projected outcome is that Democrats will end up with 233 seats and Republicans with 202. Silver has given the Democratic Party a 10 percent chance of gaining more than 59 seats and a less than 10 percent chance of gaining fewer than 19 seats.

At the end of the day, it seems the projection is that Democrats will take the House while Republicans retain control of the Senate.

Source: Daily Wire

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New Survey Reveals 55 Percent Think Media Is ‘Corrupt’ And ‘Exaggerates’ News

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The mainstream media in America has become infamous for rejecting any sort of objective standard of ethics when it comes to their news coverage, opting instead to be a propaganda arm for the Democratic Party and the progressive movement as a whole. For a lot of folks, such a statement probably seems like a tinfoil hat kind of theory, a ridiculous claim that surely only exists on the fringes of our civilized, modern society. These individuals would be dead wrong. A new survey has revealed that 55 percent of those surveyed believe that the media is corrupt and that they exaggerate news stories to fit a specific agenda or talking point. Here’s more from The Washington Examiner: According to a survey done for SeniorList, a medical device firm focused on older Americans, 55% of Americans believe that the media is “corrupt.” https://twitter.com/SenMcSallyAZ/status/1218380597678288899 In addition, many, especially Republicans, believe that the media exaggerates stories while some Democrats believe reporters minimize issues, a sign that the political polarization in media has deepened. “Republicans were much more likely than Democrats to think the media overblow issues on a large scale, indicating a more conservative trend of questioning the mainstream media,” said the survey analysis, citing Russian interference in elections, the treatment of illegal immigrants at the border, and racism. “The repetitive programming on networks and websites and the emphasis of the media to pump the news cycle with the same stories can create burnout, causing many to question the overall quality of the news,” said the survey analysis. The survey concluded that the answer to all of this is to get your news from sources and check facts out for yourself. It also suggested readers learn to be aware of the bias in modern reporting and to read up on which websites have…

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President Trump Lashes Out At Nadler, Schiff; Calls Them ‘Sleazebags’

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President Trump is clearly getting fed up with all of the impeachment nonsense that is going on right now, a sentiment he made rather clear when he opted to take House Intelligence Committee Chairman Adam Schiff and other House impeachment managers to task, calling them “sleazebags” and stating that he would “love” to attend the Senate trial. Here’s more on this from Fox News: In the hastily called press event before Trump was to return to Washington, the president delivered an unsparing assessment of impeachment proceedings, which moved into full swing a day earlier and will resume later Wednesday with opening arguments. While making clear he’s reluctant to approve any new witnesses to testify, he floated — perhaps playfully — the idea of personally attending the trial, if only to antagonize the Democrats. “I’d love to go, wouldn’t that be great?” he said when asked whether he would attend. “Sit right in the front row and stare at their corrupt faces, and I’d love to do it.” The president joked that the press should not keep talking about his possible attendance or “you may convince me to do it.” Trump lit into Jerry Nadler, lead manager and House Judiciary Committee Chairman, by saying, “First of all, Jerrold Nadler, I’ve known him a long time, he’s a sleazebag. Everybody knows that.” The president continued, “I watched the lies from Adam Schiff. He’s a liar and he’s a fraud. These are major sleazebags. It’s a total hoax. It’s a disgrace. They talked about their tremendous case and it’s all done. They had no case…it’s a con-job.” President Trump is definitely not one to hold back his truth thoughts on a subject, which is refreshing given we live in a day and age surrounded by political correctness where people don’t really say what…

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