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New Report Breaks Down the Likelihood the GOP Keeps the House and Senate

Interesting numbers.

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The November midterm elections are finally upon us, with one more day to go. Yes, that’s right folks, just survive the next 48 hours and the bombardment of political ads that are currently assaulting your eyeballs ruthlessly will come to an end.

In the meantime, many folks on the right are wondering what kind of odds the GOP is facing in regards to keeping the House and the Senate. Well, things are a bit of a mixed bag it seems.

Since the Kavanaugh confirmation circus, Republicans’ chances of keeping the Senate have strengthened. For the last few weeks, Real Clear Politics’ average of the key polls has given Republicans 50 “safe” Senate seats and narrow leads in two of the six “tossup” races (last week the GOP had a slight edge in three). According to Silver’s FiveThirtyEight, Republicans now have a 6 in 7 chance (84.8%; up 2.1% since last week) of maintaining control of the Senate, giving the Democrats just a 1 in 7 chance (15.2%) of taking over.

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Silver projects Republicans to end up with 52 seats and Democrats with 48, a net gain of one seat for Republicans and one seat more than is needed for the 51-seat majority. Silver currently gives Republicans an 80% chance of gaining up to four seats or losing up to two, and just a 10% chance that they gain more than four or lose more than two.

With their Senate hopes slipping away, Democrats are increasingly looking to the House as their best chance at wresting at least one chamber of Congress out of the hands of the GOP. And, unlike with the Senate, the Democrats’ odds of doing so are looking quite good; in fact, they’re nearly mirror-images of the Republicans’ chances of keeping the Senate.

Real Clear Politics’ poll averages currently show Democrats with 203 seats that are “safely” blue, including 14 that are “likely” to go their way and 16 that “lean” Democrat. Republicans currently have 196 “safe” seats (20 likely and 26 leaning). Last week, RCP gave Republicans 199 “safe” seats. If those numbers hold up, that means the Democrats only need 15 of the 36 tossup seats to attain the 218-majority in the House. Republicans, meanwhile, need to win 22. The one thing that could work in Republicans’ favor is that 31 of the 36 tossups are currently held by Republicans.

In numbers that closely resemble those for the Senate, but favoring the other party, FiveThirtyEight sets the odds dramatically in the Democrats’ favor. According to Silver’s analysis, the Democrats have a 6 in 7 chance (84.9%) of winning control of the House, while Republicans have only a 1 in 7 chance (15.1%). That’s about a 10-point improvement for Democrats over early October.

The most likely projected outcome is that Democrats will end up with 233 seats and Republicans with 202. Silver has given the Democratic Party a 10 percent chance of gaining more than 59 seats and a less than 10 percent chance of gaining fewer than 19 seats.

At the end of the day, it seems the projection is that Democrats will take the House while Republicans retain control of the Senate.

Source: Daily Wire

 

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Trump Piles On After Mueller Neuters Buzzfeed’s Supposed “Bombshell”

Will the media ever recover from this embarrassment, or will the President ride this wave of uncertainty into a full scale attack on the mainstream?

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Donald Trump

When Buzzfeed purported to drop a massive bombshell on the Trump campaign yesterday, we had our doubts.

After all, this is the “news” source that brought you articles such as “The 35 Times People Forgot Seth McFarlane was Hot”, and other assorted nonsense. 

Simply put, Mueller let us all know that this was fake news.  

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Now, after the debacle at one point looked threatening to the Oval Office, Donald Trump is piling on the insults over the botched story.

President Donald Trump ridiculed BuzzFeed on Saturday as “disgraceful” after the website published a Russia story special counsel Robert Mueller’s team declared inaccurate.

“Many people are saying that the Mainstream Media will have a very hard time restoring credibility because of the way they have treated me over the past 3 years (including the election lead-up), as highlighted by the disgraceful Buzzfeed story & the even more disgraceful coverage!” he wrote on Saturday morning.

BuzzFeed reported Friday that the president may have committed perjury by instructing his personal lawyer Michael Cohen to lie to Congress about his business dealings with Russia.

Yesterday’s whirlwind of events was a wild one, that’s for sure.

“Buzzfeed’s description of specific statements to the Special Counsel’s Office, and characterization of documents and testimony obtained by this office, regarding Michael Cohen’s Congressional testimony are not accurate,” special counsel spokesperson Peter Carr said in a statement.

Despite Mueller’s statement, BuzzFeed editors demanded Mueller clarify which part of the report he was disputing.

Trump also reminded followers that BuzzFeed had published the unverified “dossier” Democrats created to smear his presidency before it began.

“A very sad day for journalism, but a great day for our Country!” he wrote.

Will the media ever recover from this embarrassment, or will the President ride this wave of uncertainty into a full scale attack on the mainstream?

If we know Trump, our money is on the latter.

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Mueller Drops A Nuke After BuzzFeed Says Trump Told Cohen to Lie to Congress

Thank you…Robert Mueller?!?

John Salvatore

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Liberal outlet BuzzFeed put out an original report claiming Donald Trump directed former personal attorney Michael Cohen to lie to Congress.

Social media exploded because if the story is true the president would be in big trouble.

There’s no denying that.

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Here’s a little taste of the report, per BuzzFeed:

President Donald Trump directed his longtime attorney Michael Cohen to lie to Congress about negotiations to build a Trump Tower in Moscow, according to two federal law enforcement officials involved in an investigation of the matter.

Trump also supported a plan, set up by Cohen, to visit Russia during the presidential campaign, in order to personally meet President Vladimir Putin and jump-start the tower negotiations. “Make it happen,” the sources said Trump told Cohen.

Trump’s response:

The thing is, though, even Special Counsel Robert Mueller is saying BuzzFeed‘s story is bogus!

Here’s the deal…

In case you forgot, Mueller and his team are doing everything possible to find a connection between Trump and Russia.

They aren’t exactly fond of 45.

Therefore, Mueller smacking down the report from BuzzFeed should speak volumes to lefties.

More:

BuzzFeed is standing by their report:

WATCH:

Businessman Donald Trump was thinking about the idea of a Trump Tower in Russia in 2015, 2016-ish.

Naturally, some paired this deal (that was never made) to Trump working with the Russians to defeat Hillary Clinton.

Conservative rock star Mark Levin, lawyer and radio host, explains the legal consequences President Trump could be facing.

Hint: sorry liberals.

Listen:

People keep saying, ‘What are the legal implications for Trump?’ There are none. Zero. There’s no legal implication; there’s no legal jeopardy, period. Moreover, in all this so-called reporting and analysis by these phony experts, where did President Trump collude, coordinate, or conspire with the Russians during the election, to fix the result of the election? Where is this evidence? And since there’s not a scintilla of evidence, this should underscore the point that this entire investigation is bogus.

Shouldn’t [the media] be cheering over the fact that so far, all the leaks show that Trump did nothing? Shouldn’t they be celebrating that, that in our republic, the president that we chose is guilty of nothing? That he didn’t collaborate, he didn’t coordinate, he didn’t conspire with the Russians? But they’re not. They keep bringing in these phony experts, who are utterly predictable. ‘You know, uh, if I were Don Jr., I’d be worried about now’ — the country should be worried about now, about what’s taking place. The country should be worried.”

[…]

How many more damn times do I have to explain that it is the position of the United States Department of Justice that you cannot indict a sitting president? He’s not in any kind of legal jeopardy.

Fox News’ Tucker Carlson explains how the FBI opened an investigation in 2017 to learn if President Trump was “secretly a Russian agent.”

You couldn’t make this up.

WATCH:

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