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New Study Says COVID-19 Outbreak In Los Angeles Might Be More Widespread With Lower Fatality Rate

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What the world really needs right now is a little bit of good news instead of the gloom and doom we keep hearing about every day, and if this new study is accurate, then their might be a reason to have a little more hope during this awful pandemic.

According to research released from the University of Southern California and the Los Angeles Department of Public Health, the outbreak of the virus might be up to 55 times more widespread than originally thought with a significantly lower fatality rate.

The study found that 4.1 percent of adults in the county had antibodies to the coronavirus. An estimated 221,000 to 442,000 adults already had the illness. Los Angeles County, which has a population of 10 million, has only confirmed 13,816 cases.

Here are more details from The Washington Examiner:

“We haven’t known the true extent of COVID-19 infections in our community because we have only tested people with symptoms, and the availability of tests has been limited,” said lead investigator Neeraj Sood, a USC professor of public policy. “The estimates also suggest that we might have to recalibrate disease prediction models and rethink public health strategies.”

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The study tested 863 people from the county and has not yet been peer-reviewed. Researchers plan to continue testing residents every few weeks.

“These results indicate that many persons may have been unknowingly infected and at risk of transmitting the virus to others. These findings underscore the importance of expanded polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing to diagnose those with infection so they can be isolated and quarantined, while also maintaining the broad social distancing interventions,” said Dr. Barbara Ferrer.

Ferrer, the director of the L.A. County Department of Public Health, continued on saying, “These findings underscore the importance of expanded polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing to diagnose those with infection so they can be isolated and quarantined, while also maintaining the broad social distancing interventions.”

Chief science officer at the L.A. County of Public Health, Paul Simon, was the co-lead on the study, and while the fatality rate might be lower due to a higher number of infections, he still urged the use of caution as numbers continue to go up.

“Though the results indicate a lower risk of death among those with infection than was previously thought, the number of COVID-related deaths each day continues to mount, highlighting the need for continued vigorous prevention and control efforts.”

The demand for antibody testing is increasing by the day, with researchers especially calling for this sort of testing to be done in hot spots like New York, which has become the epicenter of the outbreak in America.

This kind of data is definitely a ray of sunshine in the dark. It means this disease may not be as severe as originally thought. That’s not to diminish it in anyway because it’s clearly horrible, but it might not be as devastating to the general population as originally thought and that’s a good thing.

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