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Pollsters Deliver Bad News to Democrats Excited About a ‘Blue Wave’ in the House
For the last year or so, Democrats have been attempting to mobilize their base by building up their confidence with the promise of a “Blue Wave” to sweep through Congress in response to the 2016 election of Donald Trump to the office of president.
Well, it looks like they’re going to have to break their supporters’ hearts, because pollsters have some very bad, bad news for their hopes of a Blue Wave.
In short, they’re going to be dashed to pieces.
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According to RCP’s latest average of polls, Republicans now safely have 49 seats in the Senate, which means the Democrats need to win all 7 of the seats that are considered true “toss-ups” to gain the majority in November.
take our poll - story continues belowCompleting this poll grants you access to Flag And Cross updates free of charge. You may opt out at anytime. You also agree to this site's Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.That’s certainly not welcome news to Democrats, who once hoped for a “blue wave” in both chambers. To make matters worse, pollsters have begun sounding the alarm over what once seemed to be the inevitable Democrat takeover of the House.
Among the most influential of the pollsters is Nate Silver, who warned Democrats that even with a generic ballot lead of +7, Democrats could end up failing to take the House.
“With a generic ballot lead of D+7 or so, it’s very possible for polls to about right overall, but for Dems to lose the House because the GOP ekes out wins in lots of the tossup districts. Once you get up to D+9 or so, the dam breaks and GOP would need a systematic polling error,” Silver tweeted Sunday. “We have the D’s generic ballot/popular vote lead trending toward +7.5 or so. So while the topline numbers in our House forecast haven’t changed much, we’ve crossed an important conceptual threshold where the eke-it-one-district-at-a-time scenario is back on the table for the GOP.”
With a generic ballot lead of D+7 or so, it's very possible for polls to about right overall, but for Dems to lose the House because the GOP ekes out wins in lots of the tossup districts. Once you get up to D+9 or so, the dam breaks and GOP would need a systematic polling error.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 7, 2018
We have the D's generic ballot/popular vote lead trending toward +7.5 or so. So while the topline numbers in our House forecast haven't changed much, we've crossed an important conceptual threshold where the eke-it-one-district-at-a-time scenario is back on the table for the GOP.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 7, 2018
New York Times polling and election reporter Nate Cohn issued a similar warning to Dems Sunday. “The Democrats have put a long list of Republican-leaning districts into play. But it’s not clear whether they actually lead in a lot of them,” Cohn tweeted (h/t Twitchy). “That means there’s still a wide range of possible outcomes in the fight for control of the House.”
Uh oh.
Looks like that whole “Blue Wave” nonsense is not quite a done deal, despite how Democratic politicians have marketed the whole thing. Given the success the GOP is currently enjoying right now, it’s highly unlikely Americans are going to turn out in droves to replace them with Democrats.
We had eight years of Democratic policy that nearly destroyed both the economy and our fragile liberty. Folks will not be too eager to sabotage the rebuilding process.
Source: Daily Wire
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Mike Rowe, America’s favorite champion of the average, blue collar worker, is on a promotional tour for his new book, “The Way I Heard It,” and stopped by “Fox & Friends,” where he gave a summary of the economic agenda currently being pushed by the Democratic candidates running for president. Here’s what he had to say, via The Daily Wire: “When you have a half a million Americans sleeping out on the street today…and then you also have three people owning more wealth than the bottom half of American society, that is a moral and economic outrage,” said Sanders. “So if you are asking me, do I think we should demand that the wealthy start paying — the wealthiest top one-tenth of one percent — start paying their fair share of taxes…Yes, that’s exactly what I believe.” The hosts then played a clip of frontrunner Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA), who is also running on an aggressive tax-the-rich plan. “Taxing income is not going to get you where you want to be the way taxing wealth does,” she said. “We need a wealth tax in order to make investments in the next generation.” Asked about his response to the Democrats’ various economic plans, particularly Sanders’ 97.5% tax on the 400 wealthiest Americans, Rowe said, “Yeah, okay. It’s a free country. Float ‘em. Fly ‘em. Run ‘em up the old flagpole — see who salutes.” He then offered a memorable summary of his takeaway from Tuesday’s debate. “Look, in the end you’ve got millionaires arguing with millionaires over who hates the millionaires the most,” said Rowe. Rowe went on to say, “And I guess it’s a conversation we’ll have, but I remember a couple of years ago, I took my meager staff over the Reagan Ranch … One of the stories they…
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‘The View’ Co-Host Joy Behar Argues Politics With Stranger While On Vacation; Says Trump Is ‘Destroying The Planet’
Joy Behar, co-host of “The View” so despises President Trump that she cannot seem to allow herself, or the rest of the human race, a break from constantly bashing and slamming the man, even while she’s supposedly taking a vacation. Behar, who recently took a trip to London, ended up getting into an argument over politics with a complete stranger, claiming Trump is “destroying the planet.” Via The Washington Times: “When I was in London, I was in the war rooms and I got into an argument with a Trump supporter,” she said, NewsBusters reported. “All he said to me is, ‘Why can’t you give him a chance the way we gave Obama a chance?’” Ms. Behar scoffed at the idea. “Give him a chance? He’s destroying the planet!” she said. “He’s destroying the democracy. He doesn’t know what he’s doing. He’s writing stupid letters to Erdogan. He’s killing people far away from us who did nothing but help us. Give him a chance? That’s the argument you’re giving me underground?” Getting into an argument with a stranger wasn’t the only excitement for Behar on her trip. She was apparently pickpocketed as well. “I got robbed at Harrods,” Behar recounted. “They stole my wallet. I was pickpocketed, yes.”
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